Tonight features an extensive 10-game NBA DFS slate, coinciding with the last Wednesday of the regular season, presenting a blend of potential and unpredictability. Injuries continue to accumulate, and with playoff placements and lottery standings at stake, player rotations are likely to shift.
Game totals vary significantly, ranging from 235 for the Denver Nuggets against the Sacramento Kings to just 210 for the Boston Celtics versus the Orlando Magic. Hence, considering pace and scoring dynamics is vital. Given the prevailing uncertainty, staying updated on injury reports is crucial, as late scratches and unexpected absences can greatly impact lineup strategy.
This guide examines crucial matchups, identifies top players at each position, and reveals value picks to help elevate your lineup’s effectiveness. Let’s explore the athletes who might give you an advantage this evening.
**Nikola Jokić (C – DEN)**
Nikola Jokić has been on an extraordinary roll, averaging 45 points, 12.3 rebounds, 10.7 assists, and two steals over the past three games. Even though the Denver Nuggets lost all three, Jokić has continued to shine, driving the offense and filling the stat sheet. Now facing the Sacramento Kings, who sit in the middle tier for defensive efficiency, Jokić seems poised for another standout performance.
This is Denver’s first contest following the unexpected dismissals of coach Michael Malone and GM Calvin Booth, but don’t anticipate this affecting Jokić’s game. Serving as the cornerstone of this team all season, he’s shown no signs of easing off. With playoff implications still in play, expect Jokić to keep his exceptional usage rate and produce yet another top-tier performance.
**Luka Dončić (PG – LAL)**
Luka Dončić is set to make his return to the American Airlines Center for the first time since moving to the Los Angeles Lakers, bringing a strong motivation to the matchup. Superstars tend to elevate their game against former teams on familiar turf, and Dončić is familiar with playing under pressure. This narrative is sure to add intensity, along with a favorable matchup.
When these teams last clashed on February 25, Dončić recorded a triple-double with 19 points, 15 rebounds, 12 assists, three steals, and two blocks. With a solid understanding of this Dallas Mavericks squad, his well-rounded game offers one of the highest floors and ceilings for tonight’s slate.
**Franz Wagner (SF – ORL)**
Despite the Celtics-Magic game having the lowest total, opportunities exist, particularly with Orlando vying for the top spot in the Play-In tournament. Boston has secured the 2-seed and is playing on the second night of a back-to-back, which could lead to reduced minutes or mental lapses in defense from a team with less motivation. This scenario provides Franz Wagner the chance to shine, especially during fast breaks.
Wagner has been one of the most reliable fantasy scorers lately, hitting 20+ points in 11 consecutive games. He consistently delivers efficient scoring while also contributing in rebounds and assists. Even in a matchup with a slower tempo, his stable role and high floor make him an attractive mid-range DFS candidate, particularly if Boston takes a step back.
**Collin Sexton (PG – UTA)**
With Jordan Clarkson (foot) already ruled out and Isaiah Collier (hamstring) uncertain, Collin Sexton is set for extended minutes against the high-paced Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers have played at the fastest pace in the league over their last five matchups, creating an ideal DFS scenario for volume and transition scoring. Sexton thrives in high-tempo contests and, with limited backcourt options, should have ample playing time.
Sexton has been strong going into this matchup, averaging 27 points, four rebounds, 4.5 assists, and two steals over his last two appearances. He’s showing vigor on both ends of the floor and has clearly accepted the leading guard role in Utah’s thin lineup.
**Adem Bona (C – PHI)**
Adem Bona has become a crucial player for the Philadelphia 76ers recently, ranking third on the team with an average of 14.5 points per game over the last six contests. In addition to scoring, Bona has demonstrated his versatility, averaging 8.8 rebounds, 1.3 steals, and three blocks each game.
Tonight, he faces a Washington Wizards squad that has struggled on defense, sitting at 23rd in defensive efficiency over their last four games. With his recent performances and the Wizards’ defensive issues, Bona is well-positioned to maintain his strong play, expected to engage actively in the paint and on the boards while seeking opportunities for blocks and steals.
**Tyler Herro (PG, SG – MIA)**
The Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls are both contending in the Play-In race, ensuring tonight’s game will be fiercely competitive. With playoff seedings still in play, expect an intense atmosphere. The Bulls have been moving at the second-fastest pace in their last four games, creating a prime environment for Herro to exploit scoring chances.
Tyler Herro has emerged as a formidable force for Miami lately, averaging 27.4 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists over his last six games. His offensive contributions have been significant, and he’s been central to Miami’s strategies. However, monitor the status of Andrew Wiggins (hamstring); if he plays, Herro’s usage might slightly decrease. Regardless, the fast-paced matchup makes Herro a strong candidate with considerable upside.
**Alex Sarr (C – WAS)**
Alex Sarr is gaining momentum with his recent performances, showcasing a 28.8% usage rate over his last three games. Coming off a stellar outing where he amassed 50.5 DraftKings fantasy points, Sarr filled the stats sheet with 20 points, 12 rebounds, six assists, and three blocks. His all-encompassing contributions make him an attractive DFS prospect, especially with his enhanced role in offensive plays.
This evening, he faces a Philadelphia 76ers defense that has recently faltered, coming in at 24th in defensive efficiency. This scenario provides Sarr with an excellent opportunity to leverage his current form against a struggling defense.
**Lonnie Walker IV (SG, SF – PHI)**
Lonnie Walker IV has showcased his skills impressively in his last two outings, shooting 53.3% from the field while averaging 23.5 points, two rebounds, and 3.5 assists. His effective scoring has made him a reliable presence. With Quentin Grimes (back) listed as questionable, Walker could see an expanded role and possibly lead the team in usage if Grimes is unable to take the court, enhancing his potential in this matchup.
Even if Grimes plays, Walker’s performances make him a solid DFS selection. He has hit value in his past two games, even with Grimes present, indicating that his scoring and overall contributions are dependable. Given the ongoing defensive challenges of the Washington Wizards, Walker is well-placed to continue his strong performance.
**A.J. Lawson (PG – TOR)**
A.J. Lawson has emerged as a reliable contributor over his last four games, averaging 12 points, 3.3 rebounds, 1.5 assists, and 1.3 steals in approximately 19 minutes on the court. His ability to accumulate stats across various categories makes him an enticing option, and with increased playing time, Lawson’s fantasy upside could expand significantly. With Ja’Kobe Walter (hip), Ochai Agbaji (rest), and Jamal Shead (rest) all sidelined, Lawson may enjoy 27+ minutes, providing him the chance to enhance his performance.
The Charlotte Hornets offer a favorable matchup for Lawson, currently ranking 28th in defensive efficiency over their last four games. This defensive susceptibility should provide him with numerous chances to capitalize on his expanded role and score effectively.
**Johnny Juzang (SG, SF – UTA)**
The thin backcourt of the Utah Jazz has opened the floor for Johnny Juzang to play significant minutes. In his last two appearances, he’s averaged an impressive 35.7 minutes per game, stepping into a notable role as the Jazz aim to close the season with a patched together lineup.
During this recent stretch, Juzang has averaged 16 points, 2.5 rebounds, one assist, and 1.5 steals per game. He’s been delivering consistent scoring while displaying flashes of defensive prowess, and his low salary makes him a valuable option on the slate.
**Duncan Robinson (SG, SF – MIA)**
Duncan Robinson has been on a hot streak over his last two games, sinking nine three-pointers while averaging 18.5 points, two rebounds, and two assists. His outside shooting has been a pivotal factor in his success, finding a rhythm within the Miami Heat’s offensive scheme, making him a budget-friendly option. Robinson’s capacity to stretch the floor is especially advantageous in fast-paced matchups that lead to increased shooting opportunities.
Given the speed of the Chicago Bulls, Robinson stands to benefit from additional possessions and scoring chances. He is likely to receive over 20 minutes of playing time, a role in which he has the potential to shine, particularly in a high-tempo game. However, if Andrew Wiggins returns, Robinson’s usage may see a decline. Provided Wiggins remains sidelined, Robinson is a savvy value play.