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Vaughn Dalzell breaks down his favorite player props and first-quarter plays in Mavericks and Timberwolves, plus Nuggets and Nets.
Lauri Markkanen O/U 31.5 PTS + REB vs. Kings
In 10 career games versus the Kings, Markkanen has recorded eight or more rebounds in two of those contests and hit 32 or more combined points and rebounds in two of those.
Yet, to start the season, Markkanen has a prop line of 7.5 rebounds and 31.5 combined points + rebounds. He’s grabbed at least eight rebounds in three games, but I think that trend likely discontinues, not to mention his shooting lately.
Markkanen is shooting 8-of-32 from the field in the last two games, his worst two-game stretch of his career. Markknane went 4-of-15 last night versus Dallas and scored 17 points. I like the Under 31.5 Points and Rebounds (-115) on Markkanen down to 30.5.
Pick: Lauri Markkanen Under 31.5 Points + Rebounds (1.5u)
Klay Thomspon O/U 15.5 Points at Timberwolves
Klay Thomspon has come out blazing for Dallas this season scoring 18 or more points in all three games, yet he has a points prop of 15.5 for this contest.
It’s the second night of a back-to-back where he scored 18 points in 28 minutes against Utah last night. Thomspon and Mavericks left Dallas for Minnesota and the 34-year-old finds himself in his first game with no rest for the Mavericks.
Last season he averaged a surprising 19.5 points per game over 14 no-rest spots, but I think that number will drop this season with a new team. He also hasn’t recorded a free throw in two straight games relying on the three-ball.
Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, and Anthony Edwards will be the primary defenders switching on and off Thompson, which is good enough for me. Give me Thomspon Under 15.5 Points.
Pick: Klay Thomspon Under 15.5 Points (1.5u)
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Draymond Green O/U 20.5 PRA vs Pelicans
Steph Curry is out and Andrew Wiggins is a game-time decision against New Orleans, so…
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Author : NBC Sports
Publish date : 2024-10-29 21:47:00
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